Green Bay stumbled in victory last week against Washington in an ugly 20-15 game. Aaron Jones found some avenues to run while carrying the Packer offense with 134 yards rushing. He was also the leading receiver with 58 yards receiving on 6 catches. Offensively, Green Bay wasn’t able to find the endzone after a hot 1st quarter. Washington suffered from a lack of talent and battled throughout the game highlighting the Packers weaknesses. LaFleur’s offense can’t have disappointing halves if they’re going to be respected in the NFC playoff picture.

Somehow Green Bay survived and now has Chicago coming to Lambeau Field for a chilly noon game. In the 200th meeting between these two storied franchises, temperatures are expected to be in the teens. Talk about a football fairy tale. Green Bay vs Chicago at a frigid Lambeau with playoff hopes on the line.

Chicago is looking for revenge after Cheeseheads strolled into Soldier Field Week 1 with a brand new coach and left with a 10-3 victory. Not much has changed since the Week 1 meeting. Mitchell Trubisky is still subpar, David Montgomery has been average and Allen Robinson plays well beyond the ability of his teammates. Khalil Mack and the Bears defense are withstanding injuries to Danny Trevathan, Akiem Hicks and their young star Roquan Smith. Akiem Hicks was activated off Injured Reserve on Saturday, making him a potential roadblock for the Green Bay run game.

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The Week 1 matchup suffered from offensive inefficiencies in the passing game and a defensive slugfest against the run. I won’t expect much to vary from the week 1 contest despite Chicago’s 3 game win streak. Green Bay’s home-field advantage will be the swaying factor in a close low scoring game.

High Expectations

Wouldn’t gamble on any breakout performances

Safe Play

Aaron Rodgers

I am not encouraged by the last few performances to gift Aaron Rodgers high honors this week. The stalls in the offense have been a consistent scene this season. Aaron Rodgers will most likely throw at least 200 yards with 1 TD. If you’re looking to win a fantasy playoff game, you’re not comfortable sitting with QB1 only getting 10-15 points. There is a volume upside for Rodgers as the Green Bay offense will struggle to run the ball against the Bears defense allowing 3.68 yards per carry (4th best in the NFL). Unfortunately for the Pack, the Bears defense is also 4th in yards per attempt for quarterbacks.

Aaron Jones

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He is worthy of team MVP so far this season. LaFleur has made an obvious effort to involve him back in the passing game. Based on volume, Aaron Jones will remain relevant with high upside to be the Fedex Ground Player of the Week. Chicago’s run defense is top 10 in yards categories but they’re ranked 28th in TDs allowed to running backs. Run the ball in the red zone and Jones or Jamaal Williams will find paydirt.

Jimmy Graham

Jimmy goes into Sunday’s game with a questionable tag from a groin injury but if he goes I would assume he’s going to have a decent role in the offense. He looks like he’s rollerblading on grass when he runs or maybe his brain is moving too fast for his body. Either way, Jimmy is a wildcard player who relies on Aaron’s accuracy to give him relevancy in the offense. Bambi will benefit from a lack of viable outlets for Rodgers on Sunday. Chicago’s defense has focused on smothering receivers leaving tight ends open for 109 targets which is 4th most in the league. Tight ends and wide receivers aren’t finding the endzone at a high rate either so the passing game will most likely happen between the red zones.

Low Expectations

Davante Adams

Praying I am wrong on this one but Davante was schemed out by Washington last week and faces a better defense Sunday. Davante is usually matchup-proof based on targets and his ability to get open. In week 1, Davante settled for 4 catches for 36 yards. My expectation is that Chicago focuses on shutting down Davante as the whole league is aware that the rest of the Packers cast isn’t formidable. Rodgers makes incredible throws to bail out the rest of the cast outside of Adams. Expect Adams to get 6 catches for 65 yards.

Outlook

Green Bay has struggled to put together a complete game and will aim to grit out a home win to move to 11-3. Chicago is confident coming into Lambeau although I think the two defenses prevail in holding these offenses to minimal success. Green Bay has the advantage of a better everything because the Bears still suck! Green Bay wins a stinker 16-13.

Go Pack Go!