Sunday’s matchup was originally slated to be a dream television matchup of State Farm titans in Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers. After the Aaron Rodgers was confirmed out with a positive COVID test, the entire football world lost their collective minds. Aaron has gone from hero to villain to hero back to villain with him now both a hero and villain depending which Facebook thread you’re under. The California kid is still QB1 and will return to lead this team to a Super Bowl run regardless of this Week 9 circus.
As of now, the much-debated heir, Jordan Love will get his first NFL start in a ruckus environment at Arrowhead Stadium. Jordan avoids early media heat with his mentor shielding all the public pressure. In addition, he benefits from having a savvy head coach to coincide with quality weapons in Davante Adams and the dual threat Aaron Jones. As far as debuts go, Jordan Love has an ideal platform to start off with success. Should expectations be high because he had time to learn, is a first round pick and has all the personnel Rodgers uses? How cool would back-to-back-to-back Hall of Fame quarterbacks be? Allow ourselves to dream and quickly come back to reality. There are quite a few unknowns for Jordan Love in this offense. Jordan Love’s early stints in the preseason haven’t shown enough volume to know how much of the playbook is open for him. Coach LaFleur is sure to change the movement of the offense to lean on Jordan’s strengths in mobility and innovative playmaking. Some would say Mahomes-like.
On the other side of the field will be a Kansas City team that is hardly recognizable from their Super Bowl appearances from the last two years. Travis Kelce has yet to break out which essentially guarantees he stars Sunday afternoon. Most of the team’s stars are still intact and they have found themselves on the wrong side of the turnover bug. Wonder if they asked their medical teams for advice?
Aaron Jones & AJ Dillon
There will be a heavy dose of these two with the veteran signal caller out and a QB that hasn’t showcased a down field passing game. Best case scenario is Jordan Love comes out and operates as a game manager taking what the defense gives him which should be stacked boxes. Teams have been playing 2 deep coverage to slowdown the passing artistry of Aaron Rodgers. With defenses able to key down on the run it will be imperative for Love to make some valuable play action hits in order to keep the defense honest. The Chiefs’ defense has given up 100+ total yards to RBs every game this season so far. Kansas City is allowing an average of 83 rushing yards and 56 receiving yards with over 6 receptions per game to the position. With Davante missing last weeks game, Aaron Jones was the primary receiver hauling in 7 catches for 51 yards. As a result of Jones being utilized elsewhere, AJ Dillon had 16 carries to Jones’ 15. Clearly Jones is still the star of the show although Dillon was able to rack up 78 yards on his runs.
Aaron Jones scoots for 85 yards and brings in 5 catches for 40 yards and a TD.
Aaron Jones over/under props: 62.5 yards rushing with 4.5 catches for 31.5 yards
AJ Dillon pounds for 50 yards a TD and brings in 3 catches for 25 yards
AJ over/under props: 41.5 yards rushing
Kansas City has struggled to defend all over the field. Throughout the course of the season they have allowed 110+ yards to Hollywood Brown, Mike Williams, Devonta Smith and AJ Brown. Capable receivers have had success against a secondary who is rated in the top 10 in points allowed to wideouts. With one major target and a limited offense, all signs point to a heavy dose of Davante Adams. The argument is whether Love can and will be able to supply Adams with targets to cover his expected totals. Davante’s expected production was dropped drastically with Rodgers out and a clear focus on the run incoming. There is advantages for Adams wherever he lines up and is sure to help move the chains for Jordan Love.
Davante catches 7 passes for 95 yards
Davante Adams over/under props: 5.5 catches for 78.5 yards
Jordan Love breakout game is entirely possible based on the susceptible Chiefs defense. Hard to assume that in his first career start in a rather loud environment that everything goes according to plan. Green Bay’s defense should be able to keep the game competitive despite the star-studded cast of Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. Odds are Mahomes and company would win the shootout although their rusty offense has to go against a Packers defense. A defense who put on an impressive display against the Cardinals high powered offense last Thursday. If Jordan doesn’t make mistakes, there is no reason the Packers don’t have a chance in this game. Ultimately, inexperience gets the best of Love and Green Bay comes up short on the road.
Packers struggle to be consistent and fall 24-20