Unfamiliar opponent is the hot buzz of the week. Was also the case with their AFC North partner in Pittsburgh, and they got mudded in the rain. A late TD in the 4th made a Packers 27-17 win look closer than what it was. The Packers had a well-balanced attack involving Randall Cobb, ya know, the team’s unquestioned strategic acquisition. Cincinnati is fresh from Thursday Night Football after a defining win over Jacksonville that nearly ended the regime of Urban Meyer’s frisky kitties. Jacksonville is a city of class, clean it up. Cincinnati’s coaching staff however is not. The Bengals are loaded with talent on offensive skill positions and that’s about it. Expect the Green Bay defense to struggle with the loss of Jaire Alexander against the 3 headed monster in Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and rookie sensation Ja’Marr Chase. Joey Burrow chucking the ball around is bound to happen especially if Joe Mixon sits out. Please do not panic if this game turns out close as it is already expected to be a one score game with the Packers favored by 3.
Aaron Rodgers & Davante Adams
A concerning stat would be that the Bengals are 7th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to QBs through 4 weeks. The less concerning part is that list of QBs are as follows; Kirk Cousins, both Andy Dalton & Justin Fields, Ben Slothlisberger and the rookie Trevor Lawrence. Kirk passed for 351 and Big Ben for 318 which shows the Bengals defense is vulnerable through the air. Rodgers will be able to find 17 wherever whenever. The Bengals defense wont be able to contain a receiver of Davante Adams’ caliber. I would assume Rodgers continues targeting 17 more than 10+ times a game and secures a productive day for the duo.
Aaron Rodgers: 325 yards and 3 scores
Davante:13 catches for 135 yards and a TD
Aaron Rodgers over/under passing prop: 262.5 yards
Davante Adams over/under props: 92.5 yards receiving on 7.5 catches
Cincinnati is actually productive in shutting down rushing yardage and RBs in general. Backs have averaged 10 points a game against the Bengals defense ranking 10th in the league. As those QBs were risky decision makers, the RBs for those franchises are accomplished. Dalvin Cook, David Montgomery, Najee Harris and James Robinson all were relatively stalled with no back going for 100 yards. The advantageous way to beat the Bengals is by utilizing the backs in the passing game. Aaron Jones should surpass expectations in receptions and yards. Jones most likely eclipses 60.5 rushing yards due to the fact Green Bay should be out to an early lead granted they expected that against the Saints too.
Aaron Jones: 70 yards with 5 catches for 65 yards and a score both ground and air
Aaron Jones: over under props: 60.5 rushing yards with 3.5 receptions for 25.5 yards
Watch this backfire. Rodgers routinely took shots at his trusted redzone target and has shown loyalty despite a lack of production to start the season. Unfortunately this week may not be the best matchup to start the Bobby Touchdowns MVP chants. None of the TEs that Cincy has faced are worthy of Bobby comparison. The Vikings TE, Conklin racked up 41 yards and Pat Freiermuth of Pittsburgh went for 22 yards and a score. Tonyan is a far superior athlete and pass catcher but the Bengals rank 5th in the NFL in shutting down the position. Cincy will try to shutdown the secondary safety net for Aaron Rodgers. Tonyan may score because he is an animal but I wouldn’t bet on much yardage production.
Bobby Tonyan: 3 catches for 27 yards
Tonyan over/under props: 3.5 catches for 32.5 yards
Green Bay has the advantage of being a topflight organization with class and excellence. Matt LaFleur and the coaching staff are finding their rhythm with the Packers defense playing stronger every week. The injury to Jaire will be an irreparable difference for a few weeks and hopefully that strengthens the depth of this team for a 17 game season and potential Super Bowl run. Before the playoffs, Green Bay has to play one game at a time by focusing on the high-flying Bengals of the Queen City.
This game stinks of a points bonanza although think Burrow gives away a couple gifts putting Green Bay ahead. Despite the turnover advantage, Green Bay struggles to contain the Bengals passing offense. Comes down to the more consistent offensive coaching staff where Matt LaFleur is wise beyond his years and Zac Taylor boggles the mind.
Green Bay wins with authority 35-24 yet allows a late score again.