Week 1 is in the books, and the good guys came away with a hard fought 17-9 victory over Seattle. Plenty of fantasy goodness came out of the game even though it was a defensive game for a large portion of it. Fantasy points (FPTS) assume 1/2 point PPR.
QB Aaron Rodgers: 28/42, 311 yards, TD, INT, 21 yards rushing (16 FPTS)
Aaron Rodgers had a rather pedestrian day compared to his usual standard. The 1st quarter was completely atypical as Rodgers slung a ball too close to the line that was picked off by rookie Naz Jones, which was thought to be for a touchdown but a penalty negated that. He tossed his lone touchdown late in the 3rd quarter to Jordy Nelson for 32 yards off of a free play where Seattle had 12 men on the field. Rodgers found his rhythm in the 2nd half, with several short to medium passes. He did take a few shots downfield, but was content to use the running game which found more holes in the 2nd half as Seattle started to lose some steam.
Rodgers Fantasy Trend – EVEN – Rodgers will be your QB1 and should be started in every league in every format.
RB Ty Montgomery: 19 carries, 54 yards, TD; 4 rec., 39 yards, 4 TGT (17.3 FPTS)
RB Jamaal Williams 2 carries, 9 yards (.9 FPTS)
Ty Montgomery had some tough sledding early, trying to poke holes in the Seattle front 7, but he broke through with a 3rd quarter touchdown scamper of 6 yards for the game’s 1st touchdown. Montgomery played 74 of a possible 82 snaps on offense, leading all running backs in the entire league for Week 1. There were rumblings of a potential timeshare between Ty and Jamaal Williams, but those rumblings can be safely put to rest. Williams got his carries spelling Montgomery, pitching in with 9 yards on 2 carries.
Montgomery Fantasy Trend – UP – Ty can be safely used an a high end RB2 to be started with confidence. He had 23 total touches in Week 1, which may go down, but not by much. Gameplan will dictate his rushing/receiving touches, but he will be heavily involved and you want this piece of the Packers offense.
Williams Fantasy Trend – DOWN – Williams is strictly a handcuff at this point, barring injury to Montgomery.
WR Randall Cobb: 9 rec., 85 yards, 13 TGT (13 FPTS) // WR Jordy Nelson: 7 rec., 79 yards, TD, 8 TGT (17.4 FPTS)
WR Davante Adams: 3 rec., 47 yards, 8 TGT (6.2 FPTS)
It was a very solid day for Randall Cobb in the slot. The “phantom punch” that removed Jeremy Lane from the game had a good deal of effect as it allowed Cobb to work on Justin Coleman, who after being pressed into action due to the ejection of Lane, had a tough time with the quick hitters that Randall feasted on to the tune of 9 catches on 13 targets. It could very well be a season high in targets for Cobb, but if the Packers employ the 3 wideout sets regularly going forward, then allow for an uptick in his fantasy standing. Jordy Nelson was usual, reliable self, snagging the touchdown on a free play late in the 3rd quarter. He caught every target thrown his way but one. For Davante Adams, his week 1 will be remembered not for his play on the field, but for his actions wrestling around with Jeremy Lane. He chipped in with 3 catches, but was on the side of Richard Sherman most of the game. There isn’t anything to worry about as far as his future fantasy returns. He will get his.
Cobb Fantasy Trend – UP – Cobb solidified himself as an every week starter in fantasy with his usage in Week 1. I was skeptical about him getting lost in the shuffle with so many weapons around Rodgers, but Cobb was fed early and often. Consider him a very solid WR3 going forward.
Nelson Fantasy Trend – EVEN – Nelson had a great day, fully justifying his end of the 1st round/early 2nd round draft slot. He’s a WR1 all season long.
Adams Fantasy Trend – EVEN – Adams had a shaky day, but with Sherman shadowing him most of the game, it was to be expected. Adams will have his great fantasy days. No reason to panic. Adams is still an excellent WR2 with upside.
TE Martellus Bennett: 3 rec., 43 yards, 6 TGT (5.8 FPTS) // TE Lance Kendricks: 2 rec., 18 yards, 4 TGT (2.8 FPTS)
Martellus Bennett got some love from Rodgers but Bennett showed it back and then some, defending Rodgers but drawing a 15 yard penalty that will be forgiven by fans and the locker room. It’s too bad you couldn’t tack on a few points in fantasy for that. As far as his actual performance, he caught half of his targets on the day. As far as target share, I can see him average about 6-8 a game, but I do expect him to do more with them going forward. Lance Kendricks caught half of his targets for 18 yards.
Bennett Fantasy Trend – EVEN – Bennett is still a starting caliber TE in fantasy. Nothing should change for him, in a high-octane offense, he should see plenty of targets from the best QB in the game.
Kendricks Fantasy Trend – EVEN – Kendricks doesn’t factor in fantasy barring injury. Leave him on the waiver wire.
Green Bay D/ST: 9 points allowed, FR, 3 sacks (9 FPTS)
Iowa legend Mike Daniels and Nick Perry each tallied 1.5 sacks and Daniels’ strip sack was recovered by Kyler Fackrell, to sum up the defensive tallies for the Packers defense.
Green Bay D/ST Fantasy Trend – UP – After Week 2 at Atlanta, they become usable in fantasy, with very good matchups, provided they play with the same intensity and pass rush they displayed in Week 1.
Stay tuned tomorrow with brief recaps on the rest of the Week 1 slate as well as waiver wire pickups to get you on your way to Week 2! Be sure to follow the official Twitter account for Pack to the Fantasy, @PTTFantasy!