Welcome to “Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em” for Week 13! We’re in the last week of the regular season in a majority of leagues! So we certainly know that we need all of the good starts and sit all of the bad fantasy matchups that we can. With that, here are the starts and sits for Week 13! For anybody not listed, please refer to my PPR Rankings for where I have them ranked for this week’s matchups!
QB Jameis Winston, TB vs. CAR
The biggest issues in 2018 for Jameis Winston have been his accuracy and his propensity for turnovers. Last week, he was mistake free and threw for 2 scores. There’s always that threat of being pulled for Ryan Fitzpatrick but that would take a monumental implosion on Winston’s end. He’s banked enough goodwill and with the Carolina pass defense in shambles, Winston should produce QB1 numbers this week.
RB Josh Adams, PHI vs. WAS
With more and more touches, more and more trust in this offense, what’s not to like about Josh Adams? This committee that the Eagles were running has been turned on its ear now that Wendell Smallwood is yesterday’s news and Corey Clement has been used as a change of pace. If you hitched your wagon to the Adams train, it’s all aboard heading into the fantasy playoffs! Adams can trusted as a high-upside RB2.
RB Gus Edwards, BAL @ ATL
Gus Edwards became the first Ravens running back since Justin Forsett in 2015 to rush for 100 yards in consecutive games, so it’s fair to say the “Gus Bus” is in the fast line. He’s not going to help you in the passing game (1 target this season) but for what he’s done on the ground, he’s worth a spot in your lineup as a good, solid RB2. All aboard!
WR Corey Davis, TEN vs. NYJ
Corey Davis has really shown his versatility the last few weeks, with his slot work and now faces a Jets defense that has been horrible defending the slot. Davis should find plenty of targets nice, high-upside home draw for Marcus Mariota and the Titans. For reference, Davis has averaged 19.3 PPR points in Mariota’s full games. Roll him as a WR2.
WR Tyler Lockett, SEA vs. SF
In a fairly easy home matchup against the downtrodden 49ers, look for Tyler Lockett to make it 10 of 12 games with either 70 or more receiving yards or a touchdown. There’s nobody in this secondary that will score Lockett or even keep up with him, so unless something wacky happens or Seattle goes ultra-conservative and runs the ball down the 49ers’ throats 75% of the time, Lockett should produce as a high-end WR3/low-end WR2 this week.
WR Josh Reynolds, LAR @ DET
With Cooper Kupp’s ACL tear, some of the parts shifted in the Rams’ passing offense, the most notable being Robert Woods moving to the slot and Josh Reynolds taking the other outside WR spot formerly occupied by Woods. Last week, Reynolds saw a 98% snap rate and 55 routes run (both career highs) en route to a 6-80-1 line against the Chiefs. On a team that uses more “11” personnel than any other team in football, those snap counts should stay in the 90% and higher range for Reynolds for the rest of the season. Tallying 3 touchdowns in his last 2 games in Kupp’s absence, Reynolds is a quality WR2 in this Sunday’s matchup in Detroit, where he should likely avoid Darius Slay’s coverage.
TE Cameron Brate. TB vs. CAR
With Jameis Winston going well (for now), he faces a Carolina defense that allows the most fantasy points to the tight end position. Obviously, that bodes well for Cameron Brate, who benefitted greatly with fellow tight end O.J. Howard out for the season with his highest number of snaps (70%) and routes run (33). He found the end zone on a 6 yard catch and should be in line for a lot of work within the Bucs’ offense. He’s a superb TE1 this week.
QB Carson Wentz, PHI vs. WAS
Carson Wentz hasn’t had a great last couple weeks. After tossing 360 yards and 2 touchdowns on the Dallas Cowboys in a losing effort, he was slammed by the Saints’ defense with his worst performance of the season (156 yds. passing and 3 interceptions) and then in a plus matchup at home vs. the Giants, threw 1 touchdown and only passing for 236 yards. Wentz faces a reeling Redskins defense but at this point, he’s very hard to trust, especially for teams looking to lock up a playoff berth or lock up seeding. He’s outside by top 12 QB this week.
RB Tevin Coleman, ATL vs. BAL
With the Ravens allowing 3.5 YPC on the season and the reeling Falcons dropping the last 3 contests, the Falcons slim playoff hopes won’t rely on the run game to get them back on track Sunday. After a 8 carry, 6 yard performance last Thursday which saw Tevin Coleman salvage his poor fantasy day with a 4th quarter touchdown, Coleman is a touchdown or bust fade this week in Baltimore. You likely have better options available to you, but if not, just hope he falls into the end zone like last week.
RB Carlos Hyde, JAX vs. IND
Carlos Hyde gets a week with Leonard Fournette’s suspension to attempt to justify Jacksonville’s mid-season acquisition of him. It’s likely there would be a split between him and T.J. Yeldon in terms of snaps and touches, and if the Jaguars were to fall behind, that likely would not benefit Hyde. Hyde is a boom or bust RB3/flex, where if you’re using him, you have to hope he punches in a red-zone touchdown.
WR Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. DEN
A.J. Green is back! But as the immortal Lee Corso would proclaim however, “Not so fast, my friend!” Tyler Boyd is likely to draw top corner Chris Harris in the slot, so this game looks more like an A.J. Green game. Even then, it’s hard to start either with confidence as the Bengals break in a new signal-caller, Jeff Driskel. We have no idea how this game will operate from a passing game standpoint, but Boyd can be deployed as a flex option this week, not his usual low-end WR2/high-end WR3.
WR Allen Robinson, CHI @ NYG
With a plus matchup against the shaky Giants defense, it’s hard to peg what receiver will benefit the most with Chase Daniel likely in at quarterback. Whether it’s Daniel or Mitchell Trubisky in a quarterback for the Bears, Allen Robinson faces a tough draw against Janoris Jenkins. Robinson was only targeted 4 times last week in the Bears’ Thanksgiving win in Detroit, but Robinson is a solid FLEX for me this week.
WR Alshon Jeffrey, PHI vs. WAS
As Carson Wentz struggles and the run game finds form, Alshon Jeffrey has been directly impacted. Jeffrey has a combined 7-120 line in his last THREE contests. You can’t trust him in your WR slots while the Eagles’ passing game is in tatters, but I suppose he could find room as a mid-range FLEX.
TE Jimmy Graham, GB vs. ARI
Jimmy Graham has run 30 combined routes in the last two weeks and with his broken thumb, he’s incredibly hard to trust in any capacity. It’s admirable the way Graham wants to continue to contribute despite the injury, but for fantasy purposes, Graham can’t be started. He’s a mid-range TE2 this week despite the plus matchup at home vs. Arizona, but you can likely find better, healthier options on the waiver wire.
Be sure to keep tabs on Pack to the Fantasy this weekend as my PPR Rankings will be updated frequently, as well as myself answering your start/sits, lineup questions, add/drops, etc. from 11AM/10AM CST until early game kickoff! To ask any questions you have, please send them on Twitter @ktompkinsii! Good luck this weekend!