Green Bay kicked off the season with a sputtering performance against division rival Minnesota. Errors in execution and discipline were responsible for the stinker. Credit to Minnesota for coming up with the genius game plan of throwing to their wide-open superstar receiver Justin Jefferson. Brilliant by them. Don’t let us forget that Minnesota did a great job of scaring Christian Watson into dropping a walk-in touchdown. Outside of the unfortunate mistakes, Green Bay still had opportunities to make the game competitive and never found a rhythm.

After the tremendously disappointing start to the campaign, Green Bay gets to play host to another rival in the Chicago Bears for Sunday Night Football. A storied rivalry that has been one-sided for a few years now. Chicago decided the best way to build a winning culture was to hire a coach with Green Bay ties. Former  Luke Getsy is 1-0 as the new Bears offensive coordinator after beating San Francisco in a sloppy monsoon at Soldier Field. The Chicago offense might not receive applause for their efforts although they played their conditions and clinched the game with an Equinameous St Brown touchdown.

Chicago’s turnaround hopes will be snuffed like their first trip to Survivor Island. Justin Fields early coronation as a legitimate quarterback is premature as he will be running for his life on Sunday Night. Green Bay returns starting wide receiver Allen Lazard while potentially having some improvements along the offensive line from the talented duo of Elgton Jenkins and David Bakhtiari. The will they or won’t they speculation has gone on for multiple weeks and if I were to guess, I would assume neither play as the Packers tend to lead with caution.

As for the matchup, Green Bay’s defense will be hungry to make up for their blunders from last week. Chicago lacks the elite weapons that Minnesota had although Darnell Mooney is dangerous if left room to operate. Justin Fields however will be able to extend plays which will be necessary as the Packers pass rush will be aggressive in pursuit. Green Bay will force the run game as they clearly neglected the gashing and dashing Aaron Jones was displaying.

 

Aaron Rodgers

23.5 completions (+102) – Lower

32.5 attempts (-130) – Lower

Passing TDs 1.5 (-214) – Higher

Passing Yards 250.5 (-115) – Lower

Rodgers in the LaFleur era has eclipsed 20 completions twice against the Bears. His attempts have also only exceeded 32.5 twice.  Meanwhile, he’s thrown for 2 or more TDs in 4 of the 6 meetings and only exceeded 250 yards passing in 1 of the 6 meetings. Green Bay will look to keep him upright after seeing him get pummeled last week.

Aaron Jones

Rushing Yards 56.5 (-114) – Higher

Receiving Yards 31.5 (-111) – Higher

Carries and Receptions are not available on open books at the time of writing. Jones was primed for big gains in Week 1 despite limited use. He’ll come out hungry. He has eclipsed 30 yards receiving in 3 of the last 4 meetings against the Bears. Expect double-digit carries and 4+ catches for 33.

AJ Dillon

50.5 Rushing Yards (-113) – Higher

~20 Receiving Yards – HIGHER

Dillon was the leading receiver last week and is a force to take down in the open field. I’ll take the over on any of his receiving numbers. Along with anytime TD.

Allen Lazard

37 Receiving Yards (-115) – Higher

No reception stats. He’ll showcase his run-blocking excellence and catch 2-3 chunkers to get him over the 37 mark.

With the Sunday primetime game; Tonyan, Watkins, Watson, and Doubs have no prop lines posted. Tonyan was rarely used until the final drive where he jumped over his 2.5 catch mark. He may be used as a zone breaker and safety net for QB1. Watson and Doubs showed promise and can limit volume for targets although either are likely to break their yardage markers when they come out.

Outlook

Although QB Wins aren’t a stat. Rodgers is 22-5 against the Bears and undefeated during the LaFleur era. LaFleur’s first win as a coach was against Chicago in a 10-3 thriller while winning by 8 in the 2nd meeting. His next 4 meetings against Chicago were dominating with an average victory margin of 14 points. Vegas is expecting Sunday’s primetime game to be a 10-point game which seems to be an overreaction from Green Bay’s loss and Chicago’s surprising win over an expected playoff team. Matt LaFleur consistently responds well to losses and to avoid putting themselves in a deep hole, expect Green Bay to start slow and finish strong.

Green Bay wins 24-10 thanks to a consistent run game and mauling defense to the football gods’ delight.

#GoPackGo