Green Bay is chasing a potential #1 seed and the opportunity to clinch the NFC North with a trip to division rival, Detroit. The nuances of securing the lone bye will be much more difficult in the NFL’s newly adapted playoff format. The changes grant entry to seven teams with three wildcards and the four division winners. Most of you may be aware of these changes although the new system provides a complex change to the end of the season tactics. Teams were able to sit starters with a higher chance of securing a home game in addition to a bye, now only one can claim the conference advantage. The Packers are coming off a win that they nearly gave away after the energy boost from rookie QB Jalen Hurts. Aaron Jones is showcasing his argument for a major payday come the offseason as he singlehandedly made one of the league’s most impressive runs of the season.
Detroit would appear to have nothing to play for except pride and potentially tryouts for their next jobs as a new coach will no doubt clean house to create their own environment. Interim coach Darrel Bevell was able to encourage the Lions to defeat the lowly Chicago Bears last week. Detroit has played Green Bay tough the last few years. After starting hot with a 14-3 lead, they were subsequently mudded for 31 unanswered points. That lopsided run of events resulted in an insurmountable lead ending later at 42-21, in the Packers favor. Aaron Jones paced the way in that game with 168 yards and 2 TDs with 75 yards coming on one long dazzling dash through the defense. If the week 2 Lions were that low, this week’s Lions, are on their last legs waiting for their summer plans as they have been depleted through injury. Only concern is Green Bay looking ahead to tougher opponents or potentially road blocking themselves with mental errors and untimely penalties.
As for penalties, the referee has predictable behaviors in his games. Alex Kemp is the official on Sunday who is 2nd in the league in favoring the home team in terms of win percentage at a rate of 66%. His crew has also called the 2nd most penalties. Through 12 weeks he had been 3rd in most yardage given up to defensive pass interferences resulting in a 9-3 record for the Over. Green Bay shouldn’t struggle to put up points with that in mind although 55 seems like a high number unless Detroit hangs around. Expect a closer than expected game.
Aaron Rodgers/Davante Adams
The Lions will be without their top two corners and were facing an uphill battle in this game regardless of who matched up against the leagues best Quarterback Wide Receiver duo. Rodgers and Adams connected for 10 catches for 121 yards and 2 TDs last week against a Philly defense that is abysmal but competitive in comparison to Detroit’s talent. With these two legends hitting their stride in time for the playoffs on top of the running game consistently putting the offense in positive game scripts, the Packers are an unstoppable force. Aaron and Davante will look to keep things rolling with the Lions ranking in the bottom of the league in essentially all categories for QBs and WRs. Despite being atrocious on defense, the Lions have one respectable ranking and that’s being tied for 6th in TDs allowed to WRs. Expect Davante and the WR group to feast in between the 20s but if anyone is able to defy metrics and capitalize in the red zone it is Davante Adams.
Rodgers throws for 290 Yards and 3 TDs
Adams hauls in 8 catches for 140 yards and 1 TD
As we said earlier, he trounced Detroit early in the season and is coming off an electric performance. Only possibility that negates his outcome is if LaFleur starts to ease his workload by spelling him with suitable backup Jamaal Williams. Aaron and Jamaal get a Lions defense that just allowed 72 yards on the ground to David Montgomery while he added 4 catches for 39 yards. Not only did they give up 100 total yards to Monty they surrendered 59 rushing yards to WR gadget player Cordarrelle Patterson with the pair combining for 3 rushing TDs.
Aaron Jones gets 16 carries for 115 yards and 2 Tds & 5 catches for 45 yards
Bobby is going to be a focal point of this team. He continues to shine his way into the endzone and the national media is just catching up to the dominance of Bobby Touchdowns. Hes a mismatch in jump balls and a savvy route runner that benefits from rolled coverages towards world beater Davante Adams. Detroit is actually kind of stingy against the tight end position where they rank 2nd in yards allowed. Good thing they’re towards the back of the league in touchdowns allowed because Bobby will take advantage of that.
4 Catches 35 Yards and 2 TDs
See very little opportunity for Detroit to hang unless Swift plays lights out against the Packers erratic rush defense or Adrian Peterson finds another burst of Packer killer in his bag of tricks. Green Bay lets the lions purr for the first half before putting them out of their misery. Rodgers will sling the ball around to all his toys and on we go in hopes of securing another NFC North division title. Don’t settle and keep expecting more success as LaFleur may have the most impressive start to a career and yet ESPN can’t keep their eyes off Sean McVay. We’ll lay under the radar until Taysom Hill blows the Saints hold on the #1 seed and all routes to the Super Bowl go through Lambeau.
Packers dominate 38-17
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As always GO PACK GO!