Annnd we have returned to being bad again. Tennessee took Green Bay for an old-fashioned beating. They ran the ball effortlessly and found ways to gash the Packers secondary with rookie Treylon Burks as well as having their way with underneath routes due to Joe Barry’s impenetrable prevent defense. Derrick Henry was as advertised, being a workhorse who can apparently also pass for TDs.
Green Bay has the odd case of all phases of the game never finding extended time of meshing together. When the offense is struggling the defense seems sharp and when the offense finds a way to score, we relinquish points immediately. A sad year is culminated by the fact everyone spent their Thanksgiving holiday watching the Detroit Lions lose and still having bouts of jealousy.
Green Bay enters Sunday’s primetime matchup with a glimmer of hope for their season and must go on the road to face off against a Super Bowl contender. The Packers had a few extra days rest due to the Thursday game although the last thing any of us want is another national television spanking. Jalen Hurts is going to put Joe Barry in such a spin cycle he’s going to think he’s back on the 0-16 Lions. Jalen’s talented teammates aren’t just the athletes like All-Pro WR AJ Brown or speedster Miles Sanders or Heisman winner Devonta Smith.
Green Bay is fortunate that Dallas Goedert is out otherwise Darnell Savage was due for a long cold night. He still might be if his coverage duties require him to keep an eye on the deep threat Quez Watkins. Green Bay’s best hope is for sloppy Philly turnovers and the Packers offense consistently being able to run the ball. Matt LaFleur’s offense and Aaron Rodgers tendencies are having a hard time meshing when the pressure is on. We’re at the point in the season where if Jordan Love gets in, we need to see the actual playbook without excessive checks. Despite supposedly seeing passing fronts, the Packers offense isn’t finding success consistently enough to execute that vision. LaFleur has to decide how he wants to lead this team in the midst of a sinking ship.
Passing Attempts o34.5 (-104) Higher
Passing Completions o21.5 (-110) Higher
Passing Yards o220.5 (-107) Lower
Passing TDs o1.5 (+134) Lower
Eagles are #1 defense against Passing Yards while being 2nd in Passing TDs per game. Their stingy defense led by cover corner Darius Slay, as a team forces 1.3 interceptions a game. Risk averse Rodgers is unlikely to be dangerous with the ball although a season on the line and a bum thumb could change things.
Rushing Yards o55.5 (-114) Higher
Receptions o3.5 (-112) Higher
Receiving Yards o23.5 (-113) Higher
Rushing Yards o34.5 (-130) Lower
Receptions o1.5 (-125) Higher
Receiving Yards o8.5 (-112) Higher
Philly is 18th in points allowed to RBs while most of the damage has been done once human wrecking ball Jordan Davis was out of the defensive line. They added some familiar faces on the defensive line to reinforce a defensive front that’s allowing 98.2 yards per game rushing. The defense also gives up nearly 5 catches per game to the position which is upside to use the versatility of Aaron Jones. He simply needs the ball more than he’s been provided. RBs have struggled to catch TDs against Philly. The optimal chance is rushing TDs as the Eagles are 7th worst with giving up .9 TDs or nearly 1 per game to RBs.
Receptions – o3.5 (-164) Higher
Receiving Yards – o46.5 (-110) Lower
Receptions – o3.5 (+110) Lower
Receiving Yards – o39.5 (-109) Higher
Receptions – o3.5 (+131) Higher
Receiving Yards – o31.5 (-114) Higher
Green Bay has a tough sledding at wide receiver as it has already been an area of opportunity and now they face a defense that ranks top 5 in points allowed to WRs. Christian Watson emergence shines some positivity towards the matchup while the return of Cobb is their to do the dirty work. Philly will give up plenty of catches while swarming to the ball and limiting big plays after the completion.
Receptions o2.5 (-145) Higher
Receiving Yards o25.5 (-114) Higher
Usually if the WRs are blanketed that frees up room for Tight Ends to flourish. Philadelphia is 8th against the position and top 10 in yards, receptions and TDs allowed to the position. Bobby has eclipsed 2.5 catches 3 out of the last 5 weeks with the two blunder weeks being the last two where he only caught 1 against Dallas and 2 against Tennessee.
Primetime against a top 5 team in the league isn’t the place to right your wrongs. Philly doesn’t look like the dominant team they were just a few weeks ago giving Green Bay a bit of optimism amidst the nightmare blackout uniforms of the Eagles. A night game at Philadelphia is going to light up the scoreboard whether Green Bay is involved or not. The Packers defense was picked apart against an underwhelming Tennessee team with no threat of a running QB. Ultimately, the lack of pass rush doesn’t scare an MVP candidate along with his host of dynamic athletes.
Philadelphia rolls Green Bay 31-20 and draft talk starts
As always it is #GoPackGO