- Aaron Rodgers… he’s ya boy. The safest fantasy pick in the entire league. He’s gonna produce no matter who the opponent is. Even if it’s Seattle. Even if it’s the 75th anniversary NFL team. Seattle talks about the “12’s”, but Rodgers is THE “12”. QB1. No doubt. Let the good times roll. His cadre of receivers is unmatched throughout the league.
- Jordy Nelson came off of an ACL tear in 2015 to have one of his best seasons to date. He also led the NFL in red zone targets in 2016 so I expect his touchdowns to be in the double digits with all of those back shoulder throws from #12. Solid WR1.
- Davante Adams will be on the other side of Nelson and I’m a bit wary of his touchdown totals. I’m not sure if they can be sustained but I do expect his yards and receptions to increase regardless. Solid WR2.
- What about Randall Cobb? The jury is still out. It’s hard to find an offense that can sustain the value of 4 receivers, plus a running back, so he might be the odd man out as far as getting consistent touches, but I certainly hope not. He can operate in the slot with everybody healthy and do a ton of damage. Right now, he’s a low end WR3 with flex consideration.
- Martellus Bennett was brought in this offseason to help exploit match-ups over the middle – which in turn helps free up the outside – and to block in the run game. Blocking doesn’t exactly translate into fantasy goodness, but Bennett will certainly get his. He’s a solid TE1 and should be starting for Week 1 on your squad along with every relevant Packer.
- That certainly includes WR turned RB Ty Montgomery, who helped in a desperate time of need to give the Pack a dual threat in the backfield. He will remain at RB this season, even though he will still be wearing #88. The Seahawks were amongst the stingiest in terms of fantasy points allowed to running backs, so Ty Montgomery should get a slight downgrade. He’s still a RB2 for me, in PPR a high end RB2.
- I would not use the Packers D/ST, at least not this week. They still give up too many big plays and yardage to be considered.
- Those damn dirty Seahawks. Start with Russell Wilson. Rusty is a top 5 quarterback heading into the season and should be able to find Doug Baldwin early and often as he tried to keep pace with the Packers offense.
- Don’t be scared off by Baldwin, he’s an unsexy name but he’s established himself as a WR1. Green Bay allowed the 3rd most yards to WR1 last season, and the secondary didn’t change too much.
- The only other receiver of note is TE Jimmy Graham, who scored his 6 touchdowns last season at home. So he may be a TE1, but touchdowns could be scarce away from CenturyLink Field.
- Does anybody at all want a piece of THIS backfield? It’s quite scary and Halloween is over a month away. Thomas Rawls and former Packer Eddie Lacy should both be rostered (as should 3rd down back C.J. Prosise) but who will be getting the carries is anybody’s guess. I would wait and see on all 3, as nobody knows who is getting the touches out of that backfield but Pete Carroll. And I’m not even certain he knows.
- The Seahawks D/ST is a decent play for turnovers/sacks, but not so much when it comes to yardage based formats.
Green Bay Packers Projected Stat Lines:
QB Aaron Rodgers: 35/50, 340 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
RB Ty Montgomery: 13 carries, 59 yards, 5 rec., 37 yards
WR Jordy Nelson: 6 catches, 96 yards, TD
WR Davante Adams: 9 catches, 89 yards
WR Randall Cobb: 6 catches, 62 yards, TD
TE Martellus Bennett: 6 catches, 52 yards
I previewed the rest of this week’s match-ups in a separate article. You can find that here.