Win and survive seems to the mantra of this Packers team. After a closer than expected victory over the lowly Jaguars, Green Bay heads to Indianapolis, the home of fast cars and noodle armed QBs. Indianapolis is a city of many names; Racing Capital of the World, Railroad City, Circle City, Crossroads of America and the truest of them all, Naptown.
Can’t think of anywhere I’d rather visit less than Indianapolis but the Packers probably feel the same way as they’ve yet to EVER secure a win there. The last road win over the Colts was in Baltimore before the team slunk out of town, in the middle of the night, like a crooked circus. My degradation of Indianapolis comes from a place of concern as I am not sure which Packers team shows up Sunday. A noticeable trait of this organization has always been to play to the opponent. Indy is playing solid football after a 34-17 divisional win over rival Tennessee Titans last Thursday night.
Indy features a 3 headed monster at RB with former Wisconsin standout Jonathan Taylor struggling as of late which means Sunday he’ll go for 100 yards against a Packers defense that has been getting pummeled in the run game. He is followed by change of pace backs, Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins, both are dynamic pass catchers. With a host of talent at WR the Colts are relying on Philip Rivers to not throw pick 6s in order to be successful. Indianapolis is touted for a talented defense making the Colts a dangerous opponent for the Packers on the road.
Green Bay will need to force Rivers to attempt mobility which regularly leads to turnovers for the aging QB. You try chasing 9 kids around all week and then have some energy left in the tank to avoid Za’Darius and Preston Smith for 3 hours. In crunch time of the Jaguars game, Rashan Gary showed a burst that will be necessary if the Packers will overcome the Colts strong offensive line. Solid coverage from returning star Jaire Alexander should aid the pass rush attempts. Kevin King is tbd as usual. His talent is tremendous when he’s on the field and we’ll see if he is out there to showcase it.
The Packer offense looks to get Allen Lazard back which reduces the reliance on Davante Adams being a superstar every play. MVS was the bright spot against Jacksonville with athleticism and reliable hands. Credit where it’s due for a guy who has received plenty of flack for his drops and reliability.
Aaron Rodgers/Davante Adams
Looking like he will get back all his wide receivers and a healthy Tonyan. Colts are #1 in fantasy scoring against quarterbacks. Does that worry me? Slightly. Aaron Rodgers has a history of destroying Colts corner Xavier Rhodes. Davante made a career out of embarrassing Rhodes and whether he follows Davante Sunday, expect Rodgers to make the most of his opportunities.
Aaron Rodgers: 245 yards 2 TDs
Davante Adams: 6 catches for 95 yards 1 TD
Aaron Jones & Jamaal Williams
The Colts defense is top 3 in points allowed to RB as well but they have a weakness in allowing a catch rate of 83.7%. LaFleur’s ability to utilize Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams in the passing game will be monumental to spacing out the disciplined Indy defense.
Colts are allowing an astonishing 3.42 yards per carry which is 3rd best in the league. they’re also 4th best in rushing yards allowed to RB with 643 yards despite surrendering 109 of those yards to the man beast known as Derrick Henry. Aaron Jones doesn’t have the same stature but his athleticism should reward him a decent day on the ground with additions from thumper Jamaal Williams.
Aaron Jones: 14 carries 45 yards 4 receptions 55 yards 1 TD
Jamaal Williams: 9 carries 25 yards 2 receptions for 20 yards
Praying I’m wrong here but it pains me to count Bobby Touchdowns out although he returns without injury designation. He’s facing a Colts defense that hasn’t allowed a TD to any TE so far this season. They the are only team in the NFL with that honor. Indy holds TEs to an NFL best average yards per throw of 4.75. Top ranks against TEs don’t stop there as they’ve allowed the least receiving yards to the position and are 2nd best in catch rate against TEs with 53.8%.
-3 catches 30 yards no TDs 🙁
Green Bay is facing an uphill battle of history and a stingy Indianapolis defense. If there’s anything I’ve learned in my life it’s when you’re concerned the Packers are outmatched make another old fashioned and shut up. This team keeps finding ways to win and they get the speedway monkey off their back thanks to multiple gifts from Philip Rivers.
Packers win 21-20
Go Pack Go!
Thanks for reading!