So we meet again San Francisco. Sunday Night Football will feature two historic franchises set to show off decades of rivalry in the Packers second consecutive primetime game. Sunday’s matchup will be a home game for the 49ers. Aaron Rodgers is 5-6 in his 11 career games against San Fran while being 0-3 in the postseason and 5-3 in other contests. Green Bay enters the showdown 1-1 meanwhile San Fran looks to stay undefeated after beating Detroit and Philadelphia. Last week’s win over the Lions was concerning early until the weather and the defense both rose in a fury which in football, it is better to be lucky than good.
As for the coaching matchup, Coach LaFleur must be at ease with his brother Mike and friend Robert Saleh both transitioned to a rebuilding project with the New York Jets. San Francisco is currently a revolving door of healthy running backs coinciding with a lack of targets for star tight end George Kittle and former 1st round pick Brandon Aiyuk. San Fran has found success by featuring the shifty Deebo Samuel who will be licking his chops if he sees #20 lined up in front of him. Green Bay will need to find a way to get pressure in the trenches on both sides of the ball as they will be without the human multi-tool known as Elgton Jenkins. Run the ball and get out of California healthy with a W.
Aaron Rodgers star power and trade concerns over the summer prompted interest from San Fran. Rodgers claims not to care about those storylines and yet he will coming out with a vengeance ready to show the 49ers what they could have had. San Francisco’s only hope for stopping Aaron Rodgers will be Nick Bosa ragdolling whoever gets the nod at left tackle. Rodgers was smooth in most of his deliveries last Monday with an intentional focus on trying to take deep shots to MVS. The Packer offense is only warming up and Rodgers will be on his game Sunday Night facing a 49ers defense that is in the bottom 3rd of the league for points allowed to QB. Apples to Oranges with only two weeks to show although surrendering 33 points to the Lions in week 1 doesn’t evoke any fear.
Rodgers consensus over/under props: 275.5 yards 1.5 TDs
Rodgers will need to be special throwing for 340 yards and 3 TDs
With a banged up offensive line it would be hard to assume a bright lights game for Aaron Jones although Coach LaFleur may have to use his star RB more in the passing game to open up running lanes. Might be a good bet to see AJ Dillon do some of the dirty work in short yardage and go back to the quick passes to Jones. 49ers are also in the bottom 3rd for points allowed to RB. I will be taking the under on his yardage while smashing the over on his receiving totals. AJ Dillon should be able to exceed his projections with ease although wouldn’t expect a breakout game.
Aaron Jones 13.5 59.5 yards 4.5 catches for 28.5 yards receiving
AJ Dillon 19.5 yards 5.5 yards receiving
I’m not sure anyone can stop Davante Adams from getting 6+ catches a game. As of now, Davante is the central and only focus that will continue to move chains. When the defense overcommits his way, the rest of the team will feast. As we said earlier, MVS deep shots are available every game and the timing has been slightly off, expect that to change Sunday Night. Pick your poison against Aaron Rodgers.
San Fran has faced two daunting TE matchups in their first two matchups. Week 1 San Fran gave up 8 catches for 97 yards and a score to TJ Hockenson while holding Philly’s Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz to a combined 3 for 30 in Week 2. I would expect a huge volume of playing time for the TEs with the banged up offensive line. Also, Tonyan’s slow-release screen proved to be useful in slowing down the aggressive pass rush which will come in handy against the 49ers. I think all 3 of these weapons exceed their projections in both catches and yards with each scoring in the affair.
Davante Adams consensus over/under props: 8.5 receptions for 89.5 yards
Bobby Tonyan consensus over/under props: 2.5 catches for 30.5 yards
MVS consensus over/under props: 2.5 catches for 35.5 yards
I have low expectations for the Packers to slow down the opposing offense of whoever they’re facing. As of now, the Packers were on the ropes for the first half against Detroit before mother nature offered a helping hand. Without even discussing the atrocities of week 1, the team must show consistency in success and that starts with the defensive line getting some forward pressure. Defensive coordinator Joe Barry was reluctant to send rushers in aid and once he did suddenly pressure happened. Crazy. I don’t trust the defense yet until they play some considerably better competition.
Green Bay is clearly the better team from top to bottom. The Packers have stars at QB RB WR while Trey Lance is eager to take Jimmy G’s job, the 49ers will have their 3rd different starting RB, and a some underachieving WRs. Both teams are fortunate to have superstar TEs. With both defenses lacking cohesive strength, the stars will shine in favor of Green Bay as the leagues reigning MVP makes just enough plays to escape with the win
Green Bay wins a tight one 27-23