Congrats on surviving the boredom of a Packers bye week albeit well timed. The potential return of all pro players is reason enough for optimism beyond the aftermath of the 36-28 thumping over the Los Angeles Rams. Green Bay is a revolving door of injuries and the Packers keep finding ways to win despite a couple hiccups in the road. Their last 5 opponents start with Chicago Bears on Sunday Night before they venture to the AFC North with Baltimore and Cleveland followed by back-to-back division games against Minnesota and Detroit. As the Packers try to vault themselves atop the NFC they have to focus on Justin Fields’ debut at Lambeau Field. Chicago is coming off an 11 point loss to the NFC leading Arizona Cardinals. Too bad the Bears couldn’t make themselves useful. Chicago has been on a tailspin since they lost 24-14 to Green Bay in week 6. Losing 5 of 6 since with their only win coming in a Thanksgiving miracle against the Lions. Chicago is lost at quarterback and has to face primetime darling Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau.
The Green Bay vs Chicago rivalry is too rich in history to consider this game as no motivation for the Bears. Chicago’s benchmark of excellence is success against Green Bay and they’ve failed to find much throughout Rodgers’ tenure as the Packers signal caller. Without a significantly strong defense and a shaky offense, it will be difficult for Chicago to find much success without breakout performances from David Montgomery on the ground. Justin Fields is blessed with the pair of talented WRs in Darnell Mooney and Allen Robinson. Green Bay has stymied more dynamic offenses than Matt Nagy’s and its unlikely Nagy develops creativity overnight.
QB1 beat a talented Rams defense for 307 yards and 2 TDs before getting the restful week off. His offensive line is playing well in a makeshift manner. Rodgers is a different monster at home and gets the benefit of primetime to show his case for repeat MVP. The Bears rank 28th in points allowed to QBs and are looking the boogeyman square in the face. Rodgers feasts despite losing his reliable bestie in Randall Cobb.
Aaron Rodgers tosses for 285 yards and 3 TDs
Rodgers over/under props: 261 yards passing 3 TDs
As Aaron Jones comes back to full strength, AJ Dillon has been a key asset in moving the Packers offense. AJ Dillon outworked Aaron Jones on the ground game with 10 extra carries and 5 more receptions. Until Jones gets his legs back at game strength, expect AJ to continue getting key plays and short down conversions. Chicago ranks 20th in points allowed to RBs and the two headed monster of Dillon and Jones is sure to punish that ranking. Both RBs should eclipse 75+ total yardage each with Dillon being the beneficiary of short yardage work.
AJ Dillon runs for 65 yards 1 TD 4 catches for 25 yards
AJ Dillon over/under props: 51.5 yards rushing 13.5 receiving yards
Adams reliability as uncoverable continues to be unquestioned as he maneuvered the jabbermouth of Jalen Ramsey en route to a 8 catch 104 yard performance. A fresh week and a weaker opponent should be a dream matchup although Davante only delivered 4 catches for 89 yards in the Week 6 matchup between these two foes. With Randall Cobb out, the additional touches will inevitably be split through the RBs and Davante with additional shots towards MVS.
Adams brings in 7 catches for 135 yards and 2 TDs
Adams over/under props: 88.5 yards receiving on 7.5 receptions
Chicago suffers from poor coaching and differing playstyles with their QBs. Nagy has weapons on offense that can cause trouble on their best day. Unfortunately for Chicago, Vegas thinks Green Bay wins by double digits. Green Bay hasn’t won the first week after the bye since 2016. Green Bay will need to keep a gritty approach down the stretch if they wish to be taken seriously as a Super Bowl contender. Chicago scores late to keep it appearing closer than it was.
Green Bay downs the Bears 34-23
GO PACK GO!